Trust, but Replay: Auditing Published Mathematical Claims

Bilar, Daniyel Yaacov · 2026-10-06 · v1.0.4 · publication/preprint · cc-by-4.0

Version of record (canonical): https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.23200273
Concept DOI (always latest PDF): https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22926995
Download PDF (Zenodo): open
Companion campaign: github.com/chokmah-me/fragile-proof-audit
OSF mirror: osf.io/ukmjp (DOI 10.17605/OSF.IO/UKMJP)
Sketchnote for Trust, but Replay: gates refute routes not theorems; five dispositions; 32-gate verdict lock; attack types A through G; hostile prior on published computational claims

Sketchnote for v1.0.4 (CC BY 4.0). Full-size PNG.

Abstract

Published mathematics is trusted far more than it is independently replayed. Peer review checks reasoning, not computation - and increasingly, part of the proof is a computation. This paper describes a short, intensive audit campaign (six calendar days, 2026-09-18 through 2026-09-23) that replays published mathematical claims from scratch under a hostile prior: every locked gate is built to produce the opposite verdict where the opposite is correct (the four exact-equality gates are exempt), and a CI-enforced verdict lock fails loudly on drift in either direction. The contribution is the playbook, not the verdicts: a five-disposition taxonomy (BREAK, GAP, PASS, SKIP, UNKNOWN) with a polarity rule separating gate verdicts from claim-level dispositions; seven attack types classified by mechanism, each with a worked example; and the evidentiary disciplines - paper-first gating, discrimination controls, gate-before-prove, fail-closed replay, independent anchors - together with the record of where those disciplines were violated and what caught the violations. The 32 locked gates (17 BREAK / 15 PASS) fall into three strata with very different evidentiary weight: four historical calibrations, nineteen live-literature targets, and eight low-stakes preprints, plus one infrastructure oracle. Companion repository: github.com/chokmah-me/fragile-proof-audit. Gates refute routes, not theorems.

Keywords

proof audit · reproducibility · mathematical claims · computer-assisted proof · fail-closed replay · formal verification · research integrity · Lean 4

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